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Current China BA Market Condition and Projection
中国公务航空市场的分析及展望 Current China BA Market Condition and Projection ——廖学锋(Jason Liao) 中国公务航空集团
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2012 —— About 350 Aircraft 中国公务航空市场的井喷式发展才刚刚开始
This is just the Beginning of Long Term High Growth 自2008年开始，中国公务航空市场开始以每年50%的速度增长 China BA Market has been growing at 50% annually since 2008 截止到2012年年底，大中华地区共有约350架公务飞机，价值约105亿美元 By the end of 2012, there are about 350 aircraft in Greater China worth about USD10.5 billion
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Fleet Character 机队是以全新的大型公务机为主，每架飞机的平均价格在3000万美元左右。
Mostly brand new heavy jets at around USD 30 million per aircraft on average. 如果以世界公务机的平均价值1000万美金计算，这350架飞机相当于1100架世界平均价值水平的公务飞机。 If we use the world average cost of USD10 million per aircraft, the USD10.5 billion would translate into about 1100 aircraft.
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25% Growth Rapid 我们对公务航空领域在中国的发展充满信心, 十年内以平均每年25%的速度增涨：
we are very confident that the China BA Market will grow at About 25% a year on average in the next 10 years: 庞大的国土面积和全球性业务发展对公务航空产品的大量需求； Huge country and far international travels; 企业经济实力的持续提高和高净值人群数量的不断增加； strong industrial growth and rapid wealth creation;
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25% Growth Rapid 3. 公务机作为高效率的商务工具被企业、政府、媒体及大众所了解并认可；
3. 公务机作为高效率的商务工具被企业、政府、媒体及大众所了解并认可； as a high efficiency business tool, business aircraft has gained more acceptance by business people, government, media， and the public; 4. 国家对公务航空产业不断予以的政策支持； Strong government policy support; 5. 飞机部分产权拥有计划、公务机飞行小时卡、以及公务机基金等新产品的出现大大降低了公务机的使用成本； New products like fractional ownership, jet cards, business aircraft trust fund will greatly reduce entry threshold; 6. 公务机购买者对二手飞机接受程度的提高。 Wider acceptance for Pre owned aircraft.
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Challenges Facing The Industry
中国公务航空市场目前的发展仍面临诸多挑战，许多制约因素依然存在，例如: Challenges facing the industry: 17%的增值税及4%-5%的进口关税； 17% VAT and 4-5% - very high taxes; 2. 飞行员、机务人员资源的严重短缺； Shortage of pilots and mechanics; 3. 高额的飞机管理、维护和地面服务费用； Very high handling fees; 4. 因缺乏和其他国家民用航空管理部门的互惠协定，所导致的繁琐及耗时的适航审定程序。 Difficulty getting TC, STC validated due to the lack of bilateral agreements.
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I am very confident that business aviation industry will grow very rapidly in China for the foreseeable future！
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China Business Aviation Group
中国公务航空集团 China Business Aviation Group
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