IBM Research – China 物联网、决策优化与电网智能化 IBM 中国研究院 尹文君 博士

百年华诞 服务百年 智能电网 智能交通系统 碳排放管理 先进水管理 能源效率技术和服务 测量与提高能源管理 监视和改进交通系统的使用 百年华诞 服务百年 智能电网 测量与提高能源管理 先进的计量 提高使用效率 减少停电 改进电网管理 管理分布式能源 智能交通系统 监视和改进交通系统的使用 减少交通阻塞 减少CO2排放 增加公共交通的使用 减少能源消耗 促进环境保护 碳排放管理 减少和减少碳排放 碳管理策略 碳管理智能决策 供应链管理 居所、建筑和工作场地碳排放管理 IBM，即国际商业机器公司，1911年创立于美国。IBM公司自从诞生以来，为整个世界带来无数的激情和梦想——“无论是一小步，还是一大步，都是引导世界的脚步”。在过去的九十多年里，世界经济不断发展，现代科学日新月异，IBM始终以超前的技术、出色的管理和独树一帜的产品领导着全球信息工业的发展，保证了世界范围内几乎所有行业用户对信息处理的全方位需求。 IBM目前业务遍及世界170多个国家和地区，是当今全球最大的信息技术和业务解决方案供应商。2008年，IBM公司的全球营业收入达到1036亿美元，净收入为123亿美元，总资产为1095亿美元；员工总数近39万人。 IBM不仅是大型的计算机制造商，还是世界最大的信息服务公司、最大的开源Linux 服务器生产厂商，以及第二大软件公司和数据库公司。不仅如此，IBM拥有当今工业界最大的实验室——IBM Research，同时也是全球第一的专利申请大户。IBM每年在研发方面投入的资金约为60亿美元。2008年，IBM 所获专利数达 4,186件，连续第 16年蝉联美国专利榜首， IBM 也由此成为美国历史上第一家在单一年度获得专利数量超过 4,000件的公司。 在信息时代的整部历史上，处处都留有蓝色巨人的身影，以前瞻眼光推动变革，以睿智见解缔造辉煌。从电子商务，到电子商务随需应变，到云计算，IBM在每个信息科技和经济发展的转折点都承担了领导者的角色。如今，世界不仅正变得更小、更扁平，而且更智慧。IBM 构想与我们的客户一起，围绕“新锐洞察、智能运作、动态架构和绿色节能” 四个主题，共建 “智慧的地球”。 先进水管理 利用实时数据监视和管理水务系统的使用 天气事件管理 防洪防灾管理 用水和水质的实时监视和分析 能源效率技术和服务 创建和管理IT系统以提高能效 主动能源管理 利用IT技术提高基础设施的能效 IT运行效率 监视和验证能效目标 需求侧能效管理 2

IBM 研究部 About 3,000 engineers, scientists and technical professionals Pushing the boundaries of science and technology to make the world work better Helping clients, governments and universities solve challenges in business and society IBM Research New Presence Since 2007 Dublin Lithuania Melbourne Brazil Saudi Arabia Hyderabad Taiwan Shanghai Shenyang Natural Resources Smarter Devices Human Systems/Events Disaster management Healthcare/Life Sciences China Zurich Almaden Watson Haifa Tokyo Austin India IBM Research Labs

60年创新之路，覆盖信息科学、数学、物理、材料、电子工程、行为科学等领域 1948: SSEC 1956: RAMAC 1944: Mark 1 1957: FORTRAN 1964: System/360 1971: Speech Recognition 1967: Fractals 1970: Relational Database 1966: One-Device Memory Cell 1973: Winchester Disk 1979: Thin Film Recording Heads 1980: RISC Nobel Prizes: Scanning Tunneling Microscope High Temperature Superconductivity 1990: Chemically Amplified Photoresists 1994: SIGe 1993: RS/6000 SP 1996,97: Deep Blue 1987: 1986: 1997: Copper Interconnect Wiring 1998: Silicon-on-Insulator 1998: Microdrive 2002: Millipede 2004: Blue Gene The fastest supercomputer in the world 2006: 5-stage Carbon Nanotube Ring Oscillator 2008: World’s First Petaflop Supercomputer

Scanning Tunneling Microscope 获得了巨大的成就与荣誉 5名诺贝尔奖得主 7项美国国家技术奖 5项国家科学奖 6项图灵奖 Scanning Tunneling Microscope Copper Chip Technology Silicon-on-Insulator SiGe DRAM Temperature High Superconductivity Electron Tunneling Effect Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Techniques High Performance Computing First woman recipient in the history of this prestigious ACM award Basis for MRI today 80余名美国国家科学院 和工程院院士 10人进入美国国家发明家名人堂 供应链全球最佳奖 330多名专业学会院士 AAAS ACM ACS APS AVS ECS IEEE IOP OSA

>3x >15x 连续17年，IBM专利数处于全球领先地位 2009 美国专利数领先公司 70% 5000 4914 4000 70% Software and Services >3x 3000 2906 >15x Number of Patents 2000 1537 1273 1000 289 250 208 141 43 IBM Microsoft Intel HP Apple EMC Oracle Google Accenture

能源是IBM重点关注的领域之一，并在诸多方面开展了大量卓有成效的工作 解决方案开发与交付 政策与标准 思想领导 Solution Development Research Global IUN Coalition Nuclear Power Advisory Council Solution Delivery Partner Ecosystem

Li-Air Batteries with 500 miles range Earth-Abundant Soln-Processed PV IBM正在研究业界最具挑战性的课题 Supercomputing & Grid Simulation Li-Air Batteries with 500 miles range Zero-Emissions DC Smart Grids 135x Performance/Watt by 2019 Earth-Abundant Soln-Processed PV CO2 Commercial Polymers Concentrator PV Smart Buildings Energy Innovation Hub

BAO IBM与BAO 行业洞察 数学研究 智慧决策 软件系统 9

IBM实施BAO的能力 1. 严格的洞察： 行业动态 2. 出色的技术： 基础软件 3. 深入研究： 先进的算法 对新目标做出严格的承诺。 为客户提供新的价值水平。 10

World-Class Talent & Innovations OEVC的研究 A shared portfolio of analytics applications & IP designed to deliver business value Operational Analytics Energy Services Patents App 1 App 2 App N App 1 App 2 App N Smarter Energy Platform Deep Collaboration Smarter Energy Research Institute World-Class Talent & Innovations State-of-the-Art Computing 3 3 3 1 1 1 Global Membership 11 Leverage & Learning from Around the World

智能电网能源价值链的变化 不断变化的能源价值链 传统的能源价值链 转变后的能源价值链 电力企业 电力企业 煤/天然气 太阳能 储能 电力企业 水电 核电 电力企业 风电 煤/天然气 储能 水电 核电 太阳能 风电 You will notice here that the traditional energy value chain has more of a hierarchical or even centralized structure. The energy value chain is evolving and has been moving to a more distributed structure and will continue to evolve into a more networked structure. 太阳能 储能 插电式电动汽车 风电 消费者 潮流 定期信息流 连续信息流

Monitor & Automate (Network) Advanced Functionality 实现智能电网价值链改变的发展历程 Participatory Orchestrate Converse the network and its Network Optimize and share participants to continuously network information, assure an optimized, secure, functions analyzing and balanced and reliable based on acting upon it network rules & to balance constraints supply with demand Orchestrate Integrate consumers given real - Measure and providers with the time Optimize & Control network & enable conditions Gain participation & observability conversation Analyze & Act over the network and automate control Connect Participants functions One - way Monitor & Automate (Network) Flow Maturity over time Basic Functionality Advanced Functionality August 10 2010

IBM研究院从业务分析与优化（Business Analytics & Optimization, BAO）及优化的能源价值链（Optimized Energy Value Chain，OEVC）的角度，进行智能电网研究 智能配电网 停电计划优化方案 综合停电管理解决方案 电网风险管控方案 电网综合评估规划辅助决策方案 可再生能源发电 电力气象技术支持系统方案 风能及太阳能发电功率预测方案 机组启停及并网优化方案 BAO & OEVC 微电网、电动汽车 微电网管理系统解决方案 储能管理与优化方案 电动汽车充放电优化方案 电动汽车充换电网络规划方案 能效管理 能效评估与节能服务 物联网智能一体化平台、智能电网可视化方案

….and many others 基于物联网的智能电网平台 Smarter Energy Applications Intermittent Renewable Power Forecasting (Wind & Solar) Integrated Distributed Outage Planner Intelligent Grid Assessment & Planning Phase Identification and Balancing Transactive Control of Energy Delivery Condition Based Management Voltage stability monitoring Power Outage Prediction Managing the Dispatch of Demand Response Building Energy Services Microgrid Design & Management Optimization of Electric Vehicle Charging Station ….and many others 15

IBM开发了一系列的工具、模型以推动能源价值链的转型 智能电网成熟度模型：评估智能电网当前的状态，明确未来的发展方向 组件化业务模型：描述公用事业企业应具备的业务功能 E-Energy模型：与德国政府合作开发的基于信息和通信技术的未来能源系统的模型 碳排放模型：分析不同场景下的碳排放量

什么使 IBM 与众不同？ IBM拥有3000多名业界领先的经验丰富的专业人员， 全面的技术，以及成本效益方法论，能够帮助公用 事业公司改造价值链，实现商业价值 IBM可靠的能源与公用事业解决方案组合是基于我们 在世界各地实施解决方案所获得的经验，以及 SAFE——基于SOA的E&U行业框架——使公用事业 公司加快开发和交付新功能和新产品的速度。 IBM支持采用世界各地的智能电网标准，与政策制定 者合作，帮助规划产业的未来，以及在前沿技术的 创新 IBM的卓越中心，概念验证和研究， First of a Kind 项目验证创新成果，证明解决方案的实施能力 IBM的解决方案合作伙伴网络为集成技术的组合提供 选择和灵活性 * IBM Energy & Utilities proven solution portfolio is enabled by SAFE - an SOA-based E&U industry framework focused on the management, maintenance and integration of a utility’s assets and information, inclusive of generation, transmission and distribution to customer operations – which allows our clients to accelerate the creation and delivery of new offerings and services * With nearly 50 smart grid engagements around the world, IBM has the industry experience, tools, cost-effective methodologies and processes to help E&U companies deliver comprehensive business solutions that support the transformation of the utility value chain. * IBM is promoting the adoption of smart grids around the world by participating in organizations that are defining the future of the industry, driving standards, (e.g. DOE, GridWise Architecture Council, Australia GridWise) and partnering on first of a kind projects (e.g. DOE Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, e-Energy in Germany, City of Austin, TX) * IBM Centers of Excellence, Proofs of Concept and IBM Research First of a Kind projects demonstrate innovation and competence in solution implementation (e.g. Green Data Center, High Impedance Fault Analytics, Outage Root Cause Analysis) * IBM’s network of partners provides solution choice and flexibility, (e.g. GE Energy, SAP, eMeter, Itron, etc.) while we continue to expand our partnering ecosystem as new and innovative companies enter the growing marketplace

IBM通过积极领导主要行业组织推动产业转型 GridWise 联盟是全球领先的宣传组织，致力于使世界电力系统现代化，涵盖了整个能源供应链。 GridWise 架构理事会由美国能源部组建，以促进和实现全国电力系统各个电力公司之间的互操作性。 能源咨询委员会出版了“智能电网：新能源经济的推动者”，以及就如何发展一个协调、经济、高效的智能电网战略向美国能源部提出建议。 Intellect 通过与监管机构，市场上被管制的和其他利益相关者的接洽，代表了信息和通信技术，电子和通信公司在公用事业行业（如供水，燃气和电力）的利益。 *Advocated for full implementation of EISA 2007 GridWise Alliance *Input to Obama transition team on proposed stimulus package and energy policy *Created Smart Grid Job Reports *Expanded the dialogue and cooperation with international smart grid groups -Smart Grid Australia -Korea Smart Grid Association -Discussions with other countries including SmartGrids Europe, India, Brazil *Working with Congress on smart grid provisions in stimulus package, energy and climate legislation GridWise Architecture Council: *Established the GWAC smart grid interoperability constitutional principles through a series of interviews and workshops with all stakeholders in the energy value chain, i.e.., utilities, vendors, regulators 2005 *Published the GWAC interoperability framework in 2006 which defined the GWAC stack, which is referenced heavily in the Department of Energy funding announcements *Identified and set national awareness on interoperability of smart grids, resulting in Congress including a section in 2007 EISA bill requiring that NIST coordinate the interoperability standards and work with GWAC and others to complete that work *GWAC engaged with NIST in January 2008 and helped establish and co-lead the domain expert working groups for interoperability *Primary advisory body to the Department of Energy (DoE) on issues related to Smart Grid technology and future directions *Established and host annual Grid-Interop Forum Electricity Advisory Committee *Published “Smart Grid: Enabler of the new energy economy,” which contained recommendations to the Department of Energy on how to develop a coordinated, cost effective smart grid strategy *Served as smart grid sub-committee chair *Sub-committee made up of cross-discipline group of utilities, associations, industry and government Intellect *Aims to improve the relationship between all stakeholders—suppliers, regulators, the regulated and others—by improving the knowledge and understanding of the role and future possibilities for technology throughout the utilities industries *Plans to assist the development of the industry and its marketplace by lobbying appropriate stakeholders on issues affecting the development of the role of technology in the utilities industries *Smart metering group established to deal with issues related to the roll-out of smart meters across the UK.

IBM是许多国际智能电网组织的主要成员和积极推动者，在行业标准和发展方面发挥作用 Chair, GridWise Alliance Chair, GridWise Architecture Council Chair-Elect, Architecture Committee for NIST Smart Grid Interoperability Panel Member, US DOE Electricity Advisory Committee Sub-committee Chair, Smart Grid, Electricity Advisory Committee Member, IEC Technical Committee 8 on system issues in electric grid Member, ISO/IEC JTC 1/SC 25 Working Group 1 Member, IEC 57 Working Group 8 on Distribution Management Chair-Elect, IEC 61968 Part 6 standards stream Vice Chairman, World Energy Council Interconnectivity Working Group Member, UCA® International Users Group including OpenHAN, OpenAMI, Common Information Model and IEC61850 Member, OASIS Energy Management Information Exchange and Energy Interoperation Technical Committees 19

IBM在能源电力领域的能力和参与模式 规划/计划 实施 管理 研究 试点和创新项目 业务咨询 系统集成 应用管理 智能电网规划 主承包商 技术咨询 智能电网技术规划 服务管理 软件硬件产品 合作开发解决方案 软件和硬件解决方案 20

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