西南财经大学实验经济学短期课程“实验的设计和具体操作”专题讲座

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西南财经大学实验经济学短期课程“实验的设计和具体操作”专题讲座 第四讲、运用实验方法进行经济学研究 主讲人:陈叶烽 (北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院) 2011年12月2日 四川 成都 (欢迎讨论, lengggone@gmail.com)

讲解内容 一、实验经济学方法论的争议 二、实验经济学能做什么? 三、在国内进行实验研究的优劣点分析 四、具体实验研究案例展示之公平的本质研究(结合11月29日听课师生作为被试参与的实验,需实验完成后补充更新此部分PPT) 五、具体实验研究案例展示之人类合作之谜研究(结合11月30日听课师生作为被试参与的实验,需实验完成后补充更新此部分PPT )

一、实验经济学的方法论争议 1.归根到底经济学研究人的决策行为,但是行为决策如何观察得到数据呢? 一手数据还是二手数据?:一手数据更容易被接受 蔡洪滨AER论文田野实验 柯荣住关于信任的文章:调查数据 李实老师的调查问卷 其二就是LAB 2.关于实验经济学的方法论争议:学生作为被试是否有代表性? 是否反映了其真实的世界行为?等等 3.为何实验论文很少用到计量,或者很少用到复杂的计量方法?

支持派VS质疑派 质疑派:Henrich et al.(2010) The weirdest people in the world Levit and List(2007) What Do Laboratory Experiments Measuring Social Preferences Reveal About the Real World? 支持派:Falk and Heckman(2009) Lab experiments are a major source of knowledge in the social sciences Croson and Gächter (2010) The science of experimental economics 其他如Simth (2010) Gächter (2010) 等等

实验经济学方法论的争议举例1

实验经济学方法论的争议举例2

作为一门成熟学科的标志1:实验经济学经典文献的被引次数 Fehr and Schmidt(1999) Quarterly journal of Economics A theory of fairness, competition, and cooperation 4160 Rabin (1993) American Economic Review Incorporating fairness into game theory and economics 2759 Kahneman and Tversky (1979) Econometrica Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk 19423 Holt and Laury (2002) American Economic Review Risk aversion and incentive effects 1369 Güth et.al (1982) Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organizations An experimental analysis of ultimatum bargaining 1847 Berg et.al (1995) Games and Economic Behavior Trust, reciprocity, and social history 1838 Ledyard (1995) The Handbook of. Experimental Economics Public goods: A survey of experimental research 1915

作为一门成熟学科的标志2:实验经济学的学术共同体 学术团体:ESA——using controlled experiments to learn about economic behavior (1986 Vernon Smith) 实验经济学期刊:Experimental Economics (1998) 学术会议: 经济学实验室

作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例) Vol. 101, No. 1, February 2011 Is Tiger Woods Loss Averse? Persistent Bias in the Face of Experience, Competition, and High Stakes (pp. 129-57) Devin G. Pope and Maurice E. Schweitzer The Evolution of Cooperation in Infinitely Repeated Games: Experimental Evidence (pp. 411-29) Pedro Dal Bó and Guillaume R. Fréchette Vol. 101, No. 2, April 2011 Reference Points and Effort Provision (pp. 470-92) Johannes Abeler, Armin Falk, Lorenz Goette and David Huffman Contracts as Reference Points—Experimental Evidence (pp. 493-525) Ernst Fehr, Oliver Hart and Christian Zehnder The Economics of Credence Goods: An Experiment on the Role of Liability, Verifiability, Reputation, and Competition (pp. 526-55) Uwe Dulleck, Rudolf Kerschbamer and Matthias Sutter Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender (pp. 556-90) Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续2 Vol. 101, No. 2, April 2011 Heterogeneity in Risky Choice Behavior in a Broad Population (pp. 664-94) Hans-Martin von Gaudecker, Arthur van Soest and Erik Wengstrom The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation (pp. 695-723) Mohammed Abdellaoui, Aurélien Baillon, Laetitia Placido and Peter P. Wakker Search Dynamics in Consumer Choice under Time Pressure: An Eye-Tracking Study (pp. 900-926) Elena Reutskaja, Rosemarie Nagel, Colin F. Camerer and Antonio Rangel Coordination in the Presence of Asset Markets (pp. 927-47) Shimon Kogan, Anthony M. Kwasnica and Roberto A. Weber Real-Time Search in the Laboratory and the Market (pp. 948-74) Meta Brown, Christopher J. Flinn and Andrew Schotter Checkmate: Exploring Backward Induction among Chess Players (pp. 975-90) Steven D. Levitt, John A. List and Sally E. Sadoff

作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续3 Vol. 101, No. 2, February 2011 The Willingness to Pay—Willingness to Accept Gap, the "Endowment Effect," Subject Misconceptions, and Experimental Procedures for Eliciting Valuations: Comment (pp. 991-1011) Andrea Isoni, Graham Loomes and Robert Sugden The Willingness to Pay—Willingness to Accept Gap, the "Endowment Effect," Subject Misconceptions, and Experimental Procedures for Eliciting Valuations: Reply (pp. 1012-28) Charles R. Plott and Kathryn Zeiler Stationary Concepts for Experimental 2 X 2 Games: Comment (pp. 1029-40) Christoph Brunner, Colin F. Camerer and Jacob K. Goeree Stationary Concepts for Experimental 2 X 2 Games: Reply (pp. 1041-44) Reinhard Selten, Thorsten Chmura and Sebastian J. Goerg

作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续4 Vol. 101, No. 3, May 2011 Do Residential Customers Respond to Hourly Prices? Evidence from a Dynamic Pricing Experiment (pp. 83-87) Frank A. Wolak Using Field Experiments in Environment and Resource Economics Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies? The Case of Exogenous Market Experience (pp. 313-17) John A. List The Persistence of Treatment Effects with Norm-Based Policy Instruments: Evidence from a Randomized Environmental Policy Experiment (pp. 318-22) Paul J. Ferraro, Juan Jose Miranda and Michael K. Price Can Tailored Communications Motivate Environmental Volunteers? A Natural Field Experiment (pp. 323-28) Omar Al-Ubaydli and Min Lee Using Artefactual Field Experiments to Learn about the Incentives for Sustainable Forest Use in Developing Economies (pp. 329-33) Maarten Voors, Erwin Bulte, Andreas Kontoleon, John A. List and Ty Turley Teacher Mobility Responses to Wage Changes: Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment (pp. 460-65) Torberg Falch Social Preferences and Fairness Norms as Informal Institutions: Experimental Evidence (pp. 509-13) Pamela Jakiela

作为一门成熟学科的标志3:实验研究在顶级期刊的发表数(以AER2011年5期期刊为例)续5 Vol. 101, No. 4, June 2011 Participation (pp. 1211-37) Gary Charness and Martin Dufwenberg Face Value (pp. 1497-1513) Catherine C. Eckel and Ragan Petrie Group Size and Incentives to Contribute: A Natural Experiment at Chinese Wikipedia (pp. 1601-15) Xiaoquan (Michael) Zhang and Feng Zhu Corrigendum: Psychological Pressure in Competitive Environments: Evidence from a Randomized Natural Experiment (page 1636) Jose Apesteguia and Ignacio Palacios-Huerta Vol. 101, No. 5, August 2011 An Experimental Component Index for the CPI: From Annual Computer Data to Monthly Data on Other Goods (pp. 1707-38) Tim Erickson and Ariel Pakes Vol. 101, No. 5, October 2011 Nudging Farmers to Use Fertilizer: Theory and Experimental Evidence from Kenya (pp. 2350-90) Esther Duflo, Michael Kremer and Jonathan Robinson The Potential of Social Identity for Equilibrium Selection (pp. 2562-89) Roy Chen and Yan Chen

二、实验经济学能做什么? 引子 Gary Charness, Ninghua Du, and Chun-Lei Yang,2010,“Trust and Trustworthiness Reputations in an Investment Game”, Games and Economic Behavior

测度人们的偏好:时间偏好,公平偏好,风险偏好等等 为构建新的经济学理论提供经验证据 实验经济学能做什么? 检验经济学理论 检验制度或政策的影响 测度人们的偏好:时间偏好,公平偏好,风险偏好等等 为构建新的经济学理论提供经验证据

检验经济学理论示例

检验制度或政策的影响示例

测度人们的偏好示例

实验经济学的研究主题(无法穷尽) 市场均衡 拍卖实验 行为博弈实验 社会偏好理论 风险决策 信任问题 合作问题 田野实验 社会距离 实验经济学方法论问题 其他如资本市场实验,财政税收等应用性实验

Martin Kocher

Sheheryar Banuri

Joseph Tao-yi Wang

市场均衡 E.H. Chamberlin (1948), “An Experimental Imperfect Market,” Journal of Political Economy, 95–108. Vernon Smith (1962), “An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior,” Journal of Political Economy, 70, 111-137. Charles Plott and Shyam Sunder (1982), “Efficiency of Experimental Security Markets with Insider Information: An Application of Rational–Expectations Models,” Journal of Political Economy, 90, 663–698. Robert Forsythe, Thomas Palfrey and Charles Plott (1984), “Futures Markets and Information Efficiency: A Laboratory Examination,” Journal of Finance, 39, 955–981.7 D. Gode and Shyam Sunder (1993), “Allocative Efficiency of Markets with Zero–Intelligence Traders: Market as a Partial Substitute for Individual Rationality,” Journal of Political Economy, 101, 119–137. Charles Plott (1996), “Rational Individual Behavior in Markets and Social Choice Processes: The Discovered Preference Hypothesis,” in The Rational Foundations of Economic Behavior, K. Arrow, E. Colombatto, M. Perlaman and C. Schmidt (eds) Macmillan and New York: St Martin’s Press, 225–250. John List (2003) “Does Market Experience Eliminate Market Anomalies,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 41–71.

市场均衡

行为博弈实验 Marwell, G. and R. E. Ames, “Experiments on the Provision of Public Goods. I. Resources, Interest, Group Size, and the Free-rider Problem”, American Journal of Sociology, 1979, 84(6), 1335–1360. Güth, W., R. Schmittberger and B. Schwarze, “An Experimental Analysis of Ultimatium Bargaining”, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 1982, 3(4), 367–388. Forsythe, R., J. L. Horowitz, N. E. Savin and M. Sefton, “Fairness in Simple Bargaining Experiments”, Games and Economic Behavior, 1994, 6(3), 347–369. Berg, J., J. Dickaut and K. McCabe, “Trust, Reciprocity and Social History”, Games and Economic Behavior, 1995, 10(1), 122–142. Henrich, J., R. Boyd, S. Bowles, C. Camerer, E. Fehr, H. Gintis and R. McElreath, “In Search of Homo Economicus:Behavioral Experiments in 15 Small-Scale Societies”, American Economic Review, 2001, 91(2), 73–78. Camerer, C., Behavioral Game Theory:Experiments on Strategic Interaction. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2003, 11, 167–188.

社会偏好理论 Rabin, M., “Incooperating Fairness into Game Theory and Economics”, American Economic Review, 1993, 83(5), 1281–1302. Levine, D., “Modeling Altruism and Spitefulness in Experiments”, Review of Economic Dynamics, 1998, 1(3), 593–622. Fehr, E. and K. Schmidt, “A Theory of Fairness, Competition, and Cooperation”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999, 114(3), 817–868. Bolton, G. E. and A. Ockenfels, “ERC—A Theory of Equity, Reciprocity, and Competition”, American Economic Review, 2000, 90(1), 166–193. Andreoni, J., and J. Miller, “Giving According to GARP: An Experimental Test of the Consistency of Preferences for Altruism”, Econometrica, 2002, 70(2), 737–753. Charness, G. and M. Rabin, “Understanding Social Preferences with Simple Tests”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002, 117(3), 817–869. Dufwenberg, M. and G. Kirchsteiger, “A Theory of Sequential Reciprocity”, Games and Economic Behavior, 2004, 47(2), 268–298. Sobel, J., “Interdependent Preferences and Reciprocity”, Journal of Economic Literature, 2005, 43(2), 392–436. Falk, A. and U. Fischbacher, “A Theory of Reciprocity”, Games and Economic Behavior, 2006, 54(2), 293–315. Fehr, E and K. Schmidt, “Theories of Fairness and Reciprocity: Evidence and Economic Applications”, in: M. Dewatripont, L.P. Hansen, S. Turnovski, Advances in Economic Theory, Eigth World Congress of the Econometric Society, Vol. 1, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003, 208–257. Fowler, J., “Altruism and Turnout”, Journal of Politics, 2006, 68(3), 674–683.

社会偏好理论各模型关系图 Kohler (2003) 社会福利 模型 Andreoni/ Miller (2002) 互利模型 Rabin(1993) Dufwenberg/ Kirchsteiger (2004) Kohler (2003) Falk / Fischbacher (2006) Charness /Rabin (2002) 不平等厌恶模型 Fehr/Schmidt (1999) Bolton/Ockenfels (2000)

拍卖实验 Kagel JH and Levin D (1986), "The Winner's Curse and Public Information in Common Value Auctions", American Economic Review, 76, 894-920. John Kagel, (1995), “Auctions: A Survey of Experimental Research,” in Handbook of Experimental Economics, edited by J. Kagel and A. Roth, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 501-535. Klemperer P (1998), "Auctions with Almost Common Values: The 'Wallet Game' and its applications" European Economic Review, 42, 757-769. Kagel, J. and Levin, D. (1999), “Common Value Auctions with Insider Information,” Econometrica, Vol. 67, No. 5. pp. 1219-1238. Goeree, Holt and Palfrey (2002), “Quantal Response Equilibrium and Overbidding in Private-Value Auctions,” Journal of Economic Theory, 104(1), 247-272 Abbink K et al (2005), "An Experimental Test of Design Alternatives for the British 3G/UMTS Auction", European Economic Review, 49, 505-530. Crawford and Nagore Iriberri (2007), “Level-k Auctions: Can a Non-Equilibrium Model of Strategic Thinking Explain the Winner's Curse and Overbidding in Private-Value Auctions?,” Econometrica 75(6), 1721–1770. Goeree and Holt (2007), “Hierarchical Package Bidding: A Paper & Pencil Combinatorial Auction”, Games and Economic Behavior, forthcoming.

风险决策 Holt, Charles and Susan Laury, 2002, “Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects,” American Economic Review, 92-5, 1644-1655 Harrison, Glenn, Eric Johnson, Melayne Mcinnes and Elisabet Rutstrom, 2005, “Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects: Comment,” American Economic Review, 95-3, 897-901 Holt, Charles and Susan Laury, 2005, “Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects: New Data without Order Effects” American Economic Review, 95-3, 902-904 Carlsson, F., D., Daruvala, and O. Johansson-Stenman, 2005, Are people nequality-averse, or just risk-averse? Economica, 72: 375-396. Cohen, Alma, and Liran Einav, 2007, “Estimating Risk Preferences from Deductible Choice.” American Economic Review, 97(3): 745–88.

风险偏好的测度

信任问题 Berg, Joyce E.; Dickhaut, John W. and McCabe, Kevin F., 1995, “Trust, Reciprocity, and Social History.” Games and Economic Behavior, 10, pp. 122-42. Glaeser, Edward L.; Laibson, David I.; Scheinkman, Jose A. and Soutter, Christine L. 2000, "Measuring Trust." Quartery Journal of Economics, 115, pp. 811-46. Cox, J., 2004, “How to Identify Trust and Reciprocity”, Games and Economic Behavior, 46, pp.260~281. Gächter, S., Herrmann, B. and Thöni, C., 2004, “Trust, voluntary cooperation, and socio-economic background: survey and experimental evidence”, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 55(4), pp.505~531. Holm, H. J. and A. Danielson, 2005, “Tropic Trust versus Nordic Trust: Experimental Evidence From Tanzania And Sweden”, The Economic Journal, 115(503), 505–532. Karlan, D., 2005, “Using Experimental Economics to Measure Social Capital and Predict Financial Decisions”, American Economic Review, 95(5), pp. 1688-1699. Bouma, J., Bulte, E., and Soest, V.D., 2008, “Trust and Cooperation: Social Capital and Community Resource Management”, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 56, pp.155~166.

信任问题 Trust and Trustworthiness

合作问题 Marwell, G. and Ames, R.E. Experiments on the Provision of Public Goods. I. Resources, Interest, Group Size, and the Free-rider Problem, American Journal of Sociology, 1979, 84(6):1335–1360 Isaac, R.M. and J. M. Walker, “Group Size Effects in Public Goods Provision: the Voluntary Contributions Mechanism”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1988, 103(1), 179–200. Andreoni, J. Why Free Ride? Strategies and Learning in Public Goods Experiments, Journal of Public Economics, 1988, 37:291–304 Ledyard, J. Public Goods: A Survey of Experimental Research, in Handbook of Experimental Economics, eds. J. Kagel and A. Roth, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, 1995 Fehr, E. and S. Gächter, “Cooperation and Punishment in Public Goods Experiments”, American Economic Review, 2000a, 90(4), 980–994. Fehr, E. and Gächter, S. Altruistic Punishment in Humans, Nature, 2002, 415:137–140 Andreoni, J., Harbaugh, W. and Vesterlund, L. The Carrot or the Stick: Rewards, Punishments and Cooperation, American Economic Review, 2003, 93:893–902 Sefton, M., Shupp, R. and Walker, J. The Effect of Rewards and Sanctions in Provision of Public Goods, Economic Inquiry,2007, 45(4):671-690 Carpenter, J. Punishing Free-Riders: How Group Size Affects Mutual Monitoring and the Provision of Public Goods, Games and Economic Behavior, 2007a, 60:31–51 Carpenter, J. The Demand for Punishment, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2007b, 62(4):522–542 Nikiforakis, N. S., “Punishment and Counter-punishment in Public Goods Games: Can we Still Govern Ourselves?”, Journal of Public Economics, 2008, 92(1-2), 91–112. Nikiforakis, N. S. and H.T. Normann, “A Comparative Statics Analysis of Punishment in Public Goods Experiments”, Experimental Economics, 2008, 11(4): 358–369. Andreoni, J. and Croson, R. Partners versus Strangers: Random Rematching in Public Goods Experiments, in: C. R. Plott and V. L. Smith, eds., Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, Elsevier, The Netherlands, 2008 Ananish Chaudhuri, “Sustaining cooperation in laboratory public goodsexperiments: a selective survey of the literature”, Experimental Economics, 2011, 14: 47–83

合作问题

合作问题

田野实验 Harrison, Glenn W., Morten Igel Lau, E. Elisabet Rutström and Melonie B. Williams, 2002, “Estimating Individual Discount Rates in Denmark: A Field Experiment,” American Economic Review 92:5 (December), 1606-1617. Harrison, Glenn W. and John A. List, 2004, "Field Experiments," Journal of Economic Literature, 42(4), pp. 1009-1055. Carpenter, Jeffrey, Glenn Harrison, and John List, 2005 ” Field Experiments in Economics: An Introduction,” In: J. Carpenter, G. W. Harrison & J. A. List (Eds), Field Experiments in Economics. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Research in Experimental Economics,Vol. 10: 1-15. Harrison, Glenn W., 2005, ” Field Experiments and Control,” In: J. Carpenter, G. W. Harrison & J. A. List (Eds), Field Experiments in Economics. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Research in Experimental Economics,Vol. 10: 17-50. Benz, Matthias, and Stephan Meier, 2006, “Do People Behave in Experiments as in Real Life? Evidence from Donations,” Institute for Empirical Research in Economics, University of Zurich, Working Paper 248. List, John A, 2006, "Field Experiments: A Bridge between Lab and Naturally Occurring Data," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 6(2 - Advances), Article 8. Levitt, Steven D. and List, John A., 2007, “What Do Laboratory Experiments Measuring Social Preferences Reveal About the Real World?” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 153-174. List, John A. and David Reiley, 2008, "Field Experiments," The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume, eds., Palgrave Macmillan Publishing, List, John A. and Michael K. Price, 2009, "The Role of Social Connections in Charitable Fundraising: Evidence from A Natural Field Experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior andOrganization, 69(2), pp. 160-169. Levitt, Steven D. and John A. List, 2009,“Field Experiments in Economics: the Past, the Present, and the Future," European Economic Review, 53(1), pp. 1-18. Levitt, Steven D., John A. List, and David Reiley, 2010, “What Happens in the Field Stays in the Field: Professionals Do Not Play Minimax in Laboratory Experiments,” Econometrica, 78(4), pp. 1413-1434

社会距离 Hoffman, E., K. McCabe, K. Shachat, and V. Smith. ―Preferences, Property Rights and Anonymity in Bargaining Games. Games and Economic Behavior, 1994, 7(3), pp. 346-380. Hoffman, E., K. McCabe, and V. Smith. ―Social Distance and Other-Regarding Behavior in Dictator Games. American Economic Review, 1996, , pp. 653-660. Bohnet, Iris and Bruno S. Frey. ―Social Distance and Other-Regarding Behavior in Dictator Games: Comment. American Economic Review, 1999, 89(1), pp. 335-339. Bolton, Gary E. and Rami Zwick. ―Anonymity versus Punishment in Ultimatum Bargaining. Games and Economic Behavior, 1995, 10(1), pp. 95-121. Bohnet, Iris and Frey, B. ―The Sound of Silence in Prisoner’s Dilemma and Dictator Games. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,1999, 38(1), pp. 43-57.

实验经济学方法论问题 Smith, V.L., 1976, “Experimental Economics: Induced Value Theory”, American Economic Review, 66(2), 274-279. Uri, Gneezy, 2005, “Deception: The Role of Consequences.” American Economic Review, 95, pp. 384. Zizzo, Daniel J., 2008, “Experimenter Demand Effects in Economic Experiments” SSRN eLibrary. Annamaria, Fiore, 2009, “Experimental Economics: Some Methodological Notes”,working paper Binmore, K. & Shaked, A., 2010, “Experimental economics: Where next?”, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 73(1), 87-100. Cleave, B. L., N. Nikiforakis, and R. Slonim., 2010, “Is There Selection Bias in Laboratory Experiments?”, Economics Working Paper Series. University of Sidney: Sidney. Jordi Brandts, Gary Charness, 2011, “The strategy versus the direct-response method: a first survey of experimental comparisons” ,Experimental Economics, 14:375–398 Gary Charnessa, Uri Gneezyb, Michael A. Kuhnc, 2012, “Experimental methods: Between-subject and within-subject design”, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 81, pp.1–8

资本市场实验(行为金融) Vernon L. Smith, G. Suchanek, & Arlington Williams,(1988), “Bubbles, Crashes and Endogenous Expectations in Experimental Spot Asset Markets”, Econometrica 56, pgs. 1119-1151 Shlomo Benartzi and Richard H. Thaler (1995), “Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 73–92. 9 Uri Gneezy, Arie Kapteyn and Jan Potters (2003), “Evaluation periods and asset prices in a market experiment,” Journal of Finance, LVIII, 821–837. Peter Bossaerts and Charles Plott (2004), “Basic Principles of Asset Pricing Theory: Evidence from Large-Scale Experimental Financial Markets,” Review of Finance, 8, 135–169. Michael Haigh and John List (2005), “Do Professional Traders Exhibit Myopic Loss Aversion? An Experimental Analysis,” Journal of Finance, LX, 523–534. Bossaerts, Plott and Zame (2007), “Prices and Portfolio Choices in Financial Markets: Theory, Econometrics, Experiments,” Econometrica, 75 (4), 993–1038. Snowberg, Wolfers and Zitzewitz (2007), “Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(2), 807-829. Hussam, Porter and Smith (2008), “Thar' She Blows: Rekindling Bubbles with Experienced Subjects,” American Economic Review, 98(3), 924-937. Noussair, Charles, Richter, Gregers, and Tyran, Jean-Robert (2008): “Money Illusion and Nominal Inertia in Experimental Asset Markets”, working paper, Tilburg University. Plott, Charles and Noussair, Charles: “Bubbles in Asset Markets: Common Knowledge Failure or Confusion?” In: Handbook of Experimental Economic Results, C. Plott and V. Smith, eds., forthcoming.

三、在国内进行实验研究的优劣点分析 1.有关中国样本的实验研究(外文) 2.研究分两大类:地上走的和天上飞的 3.我们属于非主流的虚无缥缈派:投入多代价大产出少,因为汪老师不太喜欢应用性很强的题目

1.有关中国样本的实验研究

1.有关中国样本的实验研究续2

1.有关中国样本的实验研究续3

1.有关中国样本的实验研究续4

1.有关中国样本的实验研究续5

1.有关中国样本的实验研究续6

1.有关中国样本的实验研究续7

2.劣势 实验经费问题:申请各种课题较为困难 实验硬件问题:实验室的建设 研究团队问题:实验研究一个人很难做或者单枪匹马会很累,往往需要团队配合,而团队是很难建立的,因为做实验的人还比较少

3.优势 尚处于起步阶段,相对学术竞争不是很激烈 中国特色的主题可以近水楼台

2005年至2011年国内三大期刊目前已发表的相关实验经济学论文(在参考 西南财大凌晨等老师统计基础上补充修改) 高鸿桢、林嘉永, 2005,《信息不对称资本市场的实验研究》,《经济研究》第2期 黄涛,2005:《拍卖投标中的卖方干扰策略分析》,《经济研究》第7期 林树、俞乔、汤震宇、周建,2006:《投资者“热手效应”与“赌徒谬误”的心理实验研究》,《经济研究》 第8期 周黎安、张维迎、顾全林,2006:《信誉的价值:以网上拍卖交易为例 》,《经济研究》第12期 朱宪辰、李妍绮、曾华翔,2008,不完美信息下序贯决策行为的一项实验考察——关于羊群行为的贝叶斯模型实验检验,《经济研究》第6期 周业安、宋紫峰,2008:《公共品的自愿供给机制: 一项实验研究》,《经济研究》第7期 陈叶烽,2009:《亲社会性行为及其社会偏好的分解》,《经济研究》第12期 林树、俞乔,2010:《有限理性、动物精神及市场崩溃:对情绪波动与交易行为的实验研究》,《经济研究》第8期 陈叶烽、周业安、宋紫峰,2011:《人们关注的是分配动机还是分配结果——最后通牒实验视角下两种公平观的考察》,《经济研究》第6期 周业安、宋紫峰,2011:《社会偏好、信息结构和合同选择——多代理人的委托代理实验研究》,《经济研究》第11期

2005年至2011年国内三大期刊目前已发表的相关实验经济学论文(在参考 西南财大凌晨等老师统计基础上补充修改) 伍利娜、陆正飞,2005:《企业投资行为与融资结构的关系——基于一项实验研究的发现》,《管理世界》第4期 攀登、施东晖、宋铮,2008:《证券市场泡沫的生成机理分析——基于宝钢权证自然实验的实证研究》,《管理世界》第4期 万迪昉、罗小黔、杨再惠、张学林,2008:《不同决策权配置对组织行为模式演进影响的实验研究》,《管理世界》第11期 陈叶烽、叶航、汪丁丁,2010:《信任水平的测度及其对合作的影响——来自一组实验微观数据的证据》,《管理世界》第4期 金立印,2009:《企业声誉、行业普及率与服务保证有效性——消费者响应视角的实验研究》,《管理世界》第7期 龚强,2009:《消费者谈判能力与厂商标价策略——模型及基于实验经济学的检验》,《经济学季刊》第4期 李晓义、李建标,2009:《不完备市场的多层次治理——基于比较制度实验的研究》,《经济学季刊》第4期 李晓义、李维安、 李建标、郑巴音,2010:《首位晋升与末位淘汰机制的实验比较》,《经济学季刊》第4期

四、具体实验研究案例展示之公平的本质研究 在听课师生参加完11月29日的实验之后再更新补充这部分PPT

五、具体实验研究案例展示之人类合作之谜研究 在听课师生参加完11月30日的实验之后再更新补充这部分PPT

彩蛋:可能有用的经验——做一个“许三多” 多看:文献是研究者的生命 Elsevier+Jstor+个人主页 http://www.scirus.com 多看工作论文(SSRN+ NBER) Google Scholar用被引研读文献 主要文献精读次要文献简读不能面面俱到 多做:经济学是踏踏实实一步一步做出来的 下载AER、RES等期刊文章运用Supplementary material重新做一 遍文中的主要图和表 e.g CHEN et al.(2010) 多问:直接和文献作者进行沟通是解决问题的最好途径

彩蛋:学术研究心态问题 不孝有三 读博为大 学术作为生命 VS 学术作为生存 高校学术生存环境的现状 坚定方向 义无反顾 心理问题:不能太抑郁太肥胖

Thanks for Your Attentions! The End Thanks for Your Attentions! Discussion?